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12 23Tue09162014

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Back Local News No change likely from election, political analyst says

No change likely from election, political analyst says

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ACCORDING to political analyst Ron McNinch, Gov. Eddie Calvo’s approval rating is better than previous incumbents.

“For the past three years, we’ve polled every month and Calvo remained at 52 to 55 percent (approval rating). Generally speaking, sitting incumbent governors in their first term will run in the 40s,” McNinch said. “So he’s actually significantly higher than other incumbent governors.”

McNinch addressed the Rotary Club of Tumon Bay during its weekly meeting yesterday at the Guam Marriott Resort & Spa. In addition to Calvo’s approval rating, McNinch shared his thoughts with attendees regarding the legislative branch and other political issues.

McNinch said cutting the Legislature down to a 15-member body forces sitting senators to “agree with each other all the time,” which is not conducive to their work. He added that by increasing the number of seats in the Legislature from 15 to 21, senators would be forced to take a stance.

The political analyst also mentioned that Democratic senators are “too happy with their roles” as senators and they refuse to take a stab at running for governor, noting there is yet to be a Democratic team running for the executive branch top spot.

Former Gov. Carl Gutierrez is looking to run again; however, he has not found a viable running mate who will commit for more than a day, McNinch said.

One reason

The lack of leadership out of the Democratic camp will be one of the reasons the party may lose the legislative majority this year, he added.

On the other hand, the Republicans may miss the opportunity to gain the majority for a few reasons, McNinch said. “They are too new,” he said. Additionally, the senior Republicans who hold some weight with the voting public are uninterested in running again, he added.

McNinch said yesterday that the only way Madeleine Bordallo will lose her congressional delegate seat in Washington is if she decides not to run, as she has maintained a 57 percent approval rating for the last 12 years.

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